CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.

BULLISH Impact: 5/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 19d 22h ago SEC analyst-CSCO-evercore-20260126
17 firms acted on CSCO: Truist Securities, Evercore ISI Group, UBS, HSBC, Evercore ISI Group, CICC, Wolfe Research, Keybanc, Deutsche Bank, Wells Fargo, Rosenblatt, Melius Research, JP Morgan, Citigroup, HSBC, New Street Research, Exane BNP Paribas
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CSCO ▲ +16.55% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +16.55% · α vs SPY +13.89% · entry $77.02 → $89.77
Currently $116.63 · +51.43% from $77.02 entry
Entry anchored
Jan 23, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+2.15%
call +2.15% · α +1.76%
$78.68
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+4.69%
call +4.69% · α +4.29%
$80.63
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+1.45%
call +1.45% · α +2.23%
$78.14
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+16.55%
call +16.55% · α +13.89%
$89.77
settled 29d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Evercore ISI upgraded Cisco Systems (CSCO) from In-Line to Outperform on Jan 26, raising its price target 25% to $100 from $80, implying 9.3% upside from the current $91.50. The call is part of a cluster of 17 analyst actions on CSCO, though the most recent move was a downgrade by BWG Global on Apr 23. Evercore ISI has a 67% accuracy rate on 6 rated stocks with an average return of 9.7%, placing it among top-tier firms covering CSCO. Consensus remains strongly bullish with 23 Buy/Strong Buy ratings (72%) vs 9 Hold, yet the mean target of $89.09 sits 2.6% below the current price. Price targets range from $75 to $100, and Evercore's new $100 target is the joint highest alongside Rosenblatt. EPS estimates for the current quarter have seen 1 upward revision in the past 30 days with no downward revisions, indicating slight positive estimate momentum. However, insider selling has been consistent with 5 trades in March totaling over $1.2M, while congressional activity shows 4 buys and short interest is elevated at 63.9% of off-exchange volume. The combination of a top-tier double upgrade, upward earnings revisions, and high short interest creates a potential squeeze setup, but near-term caution is warranted given the recent downgrade and persistent insider selling.

Impact Score

Base Score
3/7
LLM Adjustment
+2
Final Score
5/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
23 (72%)
Hold
9
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
22
Mean PT
$89.09
Median PT
$90.00
High PT
$100.00
Low PT
$75.00
Current Price
$91.50
Implied Upside
-2.6%

Of 32 analysts covering CSCO, 23 rate it Buy or Strong Buy (72%), 9 rate it Hold (28%), and 0 rate it Sell. The consensus is strongly bullish, though the mean price target of $89.09 implies 2.6% downside from the current price of $91.50.

The mean target is $89.09, median $90, high $100, low $75. Current price $91.50 trades above the mean, implying limited upside by consensus. Evercore's $100 target is at the high end, matching Rosenblatt, and suggests 9.3% upside. The wide range from $75 to $100 reflects significant dispersion in views.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-23 BWG Global downgrade Mixed
2026-04-16 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $96.00
2026-03-31 Truist Securities initiate Buy $94.00
2026-02-12 UBS maintain Buy $95.00
2026-02-12 Rosenblatt maintain Buy $100.00
2026-01-26 Evercore ISI Group upgrade Outperform $100.00
2025-12-17 Morgan Stanley maintain Overweight $91.00
2025-11-13 Barclays maintain Equal-Weight $76.00
2025-11-13 Citigroup maintain Buy $85.00
2025-11-13 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $90.00

In the past 30 days, analyst actions show 0 upgrades and 1 downgrade (BWG Global to Mixed on Apr 23). EPS estimates for the current quarter (ending Apr 2026) have seen 1 upward revision in the past 7 days and 1 in 30 days with no downward revisions, indicating slight positive estimate momentum. The current quarter EPS estimate of $1.036 is up from $1.035 a week ago.

Firm Track Record — Evercore ISI Group

Evercore ISI Group accuracy: 59% on 2664 calls | avg return: 4.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Morgan Stanley 86% 6/7 8.5% top tier
Piper Sandler 78% 7/9 9.6% top tier
Needham 75% 3/4 5.5% top tier
Barclays 71% 5/7 7.1% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 67% 4/6 9.7% top tier
Wells Fargo 67% 4/6 5% top tier
Citigroup 63% 5/8 4.1% top tier
UBS 60% 3/5 5.9% above average
JP Morgan 57% 4/7 4.4% above average
Rosenblatt 57% 4/7 8.2% above average

Evercore ISI has a 67% accuracy rate on 6 rated stocks, with an average return of 9.7%, placing it in the top tier. The best performing firm on CSCO is Morgan Stanley (86% on 7, avg return 8.5%); the worst is Melius Research (0% on 2, avg return -3.4%). Evercore ranks above the average firm tracked here.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: May 12, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0q $1.04 $1.03 — $1.06 $15.6B ↑1 ↓0
+1y $4.51 $4.37 — $4.68 $65.0B ↑1 ↓0
0y $4.16 $4.14 — $4.20 $61.6B ↑1 ↓0
+1q $1.07 $1.06 — $1.10 $15.8B ↑1 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Congressional
Ro Khanna (democrat) — buy $15,001 - $50,000
Congressional
Maria Elvira Salazar (republican) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Maria Elvira Salazar (republican) — buy $15,001 - $50,000
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
DODGE & COX — trim (-25.1%)
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — exit (-100%)
Short Interest
Short: 3,479,710 | Exempt: 2,073 | TRF Vol: 5,443,858 | Short Ratio: 63.9% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trading shows 5 sells in March totaling ~$1.25M with no buys, a bearish signal. Congressional trading shows 4 buys from three members (Khanna, Salazar, Letlow) in Feb-Mar, a bullish political signal. Institutional activity is mixed: Norges Bank opened a massive $4.5B position but also appears to have exited an earlier position; Dodge & Cox trimmed 25.1%, Renaissance exited, while Two Sigma more than doubled (+563.1%). Short interest is elevated at 63.9% of off-exchange volume, indicating high bearish positioning. The analyst upgrade diverges from insider selling but converges with congressional buys and some institutional accumulation.

Actionable Insight

The Evercore upgrade from a top-tier firm with a high price target, combined with upward EPS revisions and elevated short interest, suggests potential upside. However, the recent downgrade, insider selling, and price already above consensus mean caution is warranted. Traders should watch for a break above $92 with volume as a bullish catalyst.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

9 reports for CSCO
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +5.26%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CSCO — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 19, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+5
May 15, 2026
5d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 6/10
awaiting T+5
May 1, 2026
19d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$77.02 $80.63▲ +4.69%▲ +4.29%$116.63 (+51.43%)
Apr 29, 2026
22d ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.59 $94.30▲ +5.26%▲ +2.15%$116.63 (+30.19%)
Apr 23, 2026
28d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 1/10
$88.60 $89.57▼ −1.10%▲ +0.38%$116.63 (−31.64%)
Apr 13, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$82.34 $87.70▼ −6.51%▼ −3.22%$116.63 (−41.65%)
Mar 30, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$77.01 $80.65▲ +4.73%▲ +0.43%$116.63 (+51.45%)
Mar 17, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$79.28 $80.88▲ +2.02%▲ +4.67%$116.63 (+47.12%)
Mar 11, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$78.07 $77.61▼ −0.59%▲ +1.60%$116.63 (+49.40%)
Showing 9 of 9

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