CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 8/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 6 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CRCL ▲ +8.35% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +8.35% · α vs SPY -0.97% · entry $96.14 → $104.17
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 04:53 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+3.63%
call +3.63% · α +4.54%
$99.63
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+16.33%
call +16.33% · α +17.54%
$111.84
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-6.48%
call -6.48% · α +1.46%
$89.91
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+8.35%
call +8.35% · α -0.97%
$104.17
settled 15d ago

Executive Summary

Six major institutions, including Norges Bank, RenTech, and Two Sigma, significantly increased or initiated positions in Circle Internet Group (CRCL) during 2025-Q4, accumulating $341.2M in net new exposure. This buying was partially offset by Fidelity nearly exiting its stake, reducing holdings by $1.67B. The cluster is dominated by quant funds and large passives, signaling strong institutional conviction despite one major exit.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$619.4M
Sell Value
$1.7B
Net Flow
$341.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $341.2M

▲ Buyers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Norges Bank NEW +0% $60.7M $60.7M
RenTech NEW +0% $163.9M $163.9M
Two Sigma DOUBLED +5026.5% $100.3M $97.1M

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Fidelity NEAR_EXIT -95.5% $1.7B -$1.7B

Actionable Insight

Despite Fidelity's large exit, the entry and expansion by sophisticated quant funds (RenTech, Two Sigma) and a sovereign investor (Norges Bank) suggests emerging confidence in CRCL's fundamentals or a pending catalyst. Traders should monitor for short-term upside pressure, especially if retail follows institutional lead.

Key Facts

  • 6 institutions accumulated $341.2M in net new positions in CRCL during 2025-Q4
  • RenTech and Two Sigma initiated and doubled positions, adding $163.9M and $97.1M respectively
  • Norges Bank established a new $60.7M position
  • Fidelity reduced its stake by 95.5%, exiting from 12.96M to 579.6K shares, a $1.67B value reduction
  • Buy-side activity was led by high-conviction quant and sovereign investors

Financial Impact

Institutions added $341.2M in net long exposure; total buyer value increased by $619.4M, while Fidelity alone reduced holdings by $1.67B

float ownershipinstitutional ownershiptrading volumemarket sentiment

Risk Factors

  • Fidelity's near-complete exit may indicate concerns about valuation or future prospects
  • Mega-passive buyers (BofA, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley) may be rebalancing rather than making a directional bet
  • Quant-driven moves can reverse quickly based on model signals

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CRCL-2025-Q4
37 reports for CRCL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +34.26%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRCL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 9, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$81.15 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 9, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.15 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 9, 2026
today
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.07 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$82.47 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$80.28 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$83.79 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$90.54 $80.28▼ −11.33%▼ −8.76%
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$100.85 $90.13▼ −10.63%▼ −9.94%
May 21, 2026
19d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$114.88 $113.12▼ −1.53%▼ −1.98%
May 13, 2026
27d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$111.39 $111.03▼ −0.32%▲ +0.33%
Showing 10 of 37

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