COP CONOCOPHILLIPS

BEARISH Impact: 8/10 Insider Cluster (3 insiders)
Horizon immediate Filed Mar 20, 2026 Processed 2mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $66.4M total
Latest settled — T+20d
COP ▼ -8.09% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +8.09% · α vs SPY +17.41% · entry $126.70 → $116.45
Next anchor: T+60d in 5d
Last close $118.89 (close Jun 8) · +6.16% from $126.70 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Mar 19, 04:31 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.36%
call -0.36% · α +0.75%
$127.15
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+5.60%
call -5.60% · α -7.75%
$133.79
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-8.09%
call +8.09% · α +17.41%
$116.45
settled 8w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 5d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ConocoPhillips CEO Lance Ryan Michael sold 506,800 shares for $64.5 million in an open-market transaction, following derivative exercises totaling $25.2 million in value. Two other executives sold smaller amounts, bringing the total insider selling cluster to $66.4 million over seven days. This represents a material disposition by the CEO, likely tied to pre-arranged trading plans or diversification, but raises concerns given its size and concentration.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$66.4M
Insiders
3

Actionable Insight

Monitor for Form 144 filings or disclosures indicating whether these sales were part of a 10b5-1 plan. The scale of CEO selling may signal reduced conviction or aggressive diversification; consider this a cautionary signal ahead of earnings or macro-driven volatility in energy markets.

Key Facts

  • CEO Lance Ryan Michael sold 506,800 shares for $64,493,594 in open-market transactions on March 20, 2026.
  • The sale was preceded by two derivative exercises totaling 506,800 shares with a cost basis of $0 and $49.755 per share, respectively.
  • SVP Rose Kelly Brunetti sold $1.0 million worth of shares, and EVP Olds Nicholas G sold $888,651.
  • Total open-market selling in the cluster: $66.4 million over 7 days.
  • This insider selling cluster represents approximately 0.042% of ConocoPhillips' $158.1B market cap.

Financial Impact

$66.4 million in insider selling over 7 days, with $64.5 million directly from the CEO. Non-cash derivative exercises added $25.2 million in realized value.

insider ownershipinvestor sentimentperceived confidence in stock

Risk Factors

  • Perception of insider pessimism due to concentration of selling by top leadership, especially the CEO.
  • Potential for negative market reaction if sales are not part of pre-arranged plans.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (33 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CONTEXT: Insider Cluster Data (5 trades, 7d window)cluster-COP-1774468847979
9 reports for COP
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +2.30%Mar 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for COP — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 27, 2026
14d ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$115.14 $116.87▼ −1.51%▼ −0.30%$118.89 (−3.26%)
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$132.86 $131.77▼ −0.82%▼ −5.12%$118.89 (−10.51%)
Mar 20, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$126.70 $133.79▼ −5.60%▼ −7.75%$118.89 (+6.16%)
Mar 20, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$126.70 $133.79▲ +5.60%▲ +7.75%$118.89 (−6.16%)
Mar 13, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$121.69 $126.70▼ −4.12%▼ −6.24%$118.89 (+2.30%)
Mar 9, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$116.98 $121.27▲ +3.67%▲ +5.02%$118.89 (+1.64%)
Mar 6, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$116.99 $121.69▲ +4.02%▲ +5.55%$118.89 (+1.63%)
Mar 6, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$116.99 $121.69▲ +4.02%▲ +5.55%$118.89 (+1.63%)
Mar 6, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$116.99 $121.69▼ −4.02%▼ −5.55%$118.89 (−1.63%)
Showing 9 of 9

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