CERT Certara

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed May 11, 2026 Processed 9d 13h ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+5d
CERT ▼ -11.11% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +11.11% · α vs SPY +11.03% · entry $5.13 → $4.56
Next anchor: T+20d in 20d
Currently $4.67 · +8.97% from $5.13 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 8, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.78%
call +0.78% · α +0.64%
$5.09
settled 8d ago
T+5d
-11.11%
call +11.11% · α +11.03%
$4.56
settled 2d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 20d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

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Executive Summary

Certara reported Q1 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.09, missing the $0.11 consensus by 15.1%, while revenue of $106.9M was slightly above the $106.1M estimate. The company swung to a GAAP net loss of $8.8M from a $4.7M profit a year ago, driven by higher operating expenses and a $7.4M contingent consideration charge. Guidance for full-year 2026 was updated to reflect the divestiture of the Regulatory and Medical Writing business, with revenue growth of 0%-4% excluding the divested unit and adjusted EPS of $0.35-$0.41.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$395M-$405M
maintained

Actionable Insight

The EPS miss and GAAP loss are negative signals, but the divestiture and 20% software bookings growth provide some offset. Watch for Q2 2026 execution on services turnaround and whether the $0.35-$0.41 adjusted EPS guidance range proves achievable given the Q1 miss. The $40M buyback suggests management sees value, but declining fundamentals warrant caution.

Key Facts

  • Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.09 missed consensus of $0.11 by 15.1%.
  • Total revenue of $106.9M grew just 1% YoY, with services revenue declining 4%.
  • GAAP net loss of $8.8M vs. net income of $4.7M in Q1 2025, a 285% decline.
  • Adjusted EBITDA fell 9% YoY to $31.7M from $34.8M.
  • Completed sale of Regulatory and Medical Writing business for $85M cash plus up to $50M in escrow and earn-out.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance: revenue $395M-$405M (0%-4% growth ex-divestiture), adjusted EPS $0.35-$0.41.
  • Software bookings grew 20% YoY, but services bookings fell 14%.
  • Cash used to repurchase $40M in common stock during the quarter.

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~$0.02 vs consensus; revenue slightly above consensus but growth decelerating; GAAP net loss swing of $13.5M YoY

epsrevenuenet incomeadjusted ebitdaguidance

Risk Factors

  • Services revenue declining 4% YoY with execution challenges flagged by management
  • GAAP net loss and negative operating income trend
  • Guidance implies H2-weighted earnings, adding execution risk
  • Contingent consideration and restructuring costs may continue to pressure GAAP results

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
55% bullish (20 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3291697
7 reports for CERT
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +11.11%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CERT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 11, 2026
9d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.13 $4.56▲ +11.11%▲ +11.03%$4.67 (+8.97%)
May 11, 2026
9d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.13 $4.56▲ +11.11%▲ +11.03%$4.67 (+8.97%)
Apr 22, 2026
28d ago
8-K / PRESS-RELEASE
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.38 $6.11▼ −4.23%▼ −4.29%$4.67 (−26.80%)
Apr 3, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.46 $5.79▲ +6.04%▲ +1.91%$4.67 (−14.47%)
Mar 30, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.68 $5.62▼ −1.06%▼ −5.36%$4.67 (−17.78%)
Mar 3, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$7.24 $6.93▼ −4.28%▼ −3.80%$4.67 (−35.50%)
Feb 26, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.80 $7.15▲ +5.15%▲ +6.27%$4.67 (−31.32%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (< 1m)

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