CERT Certara

BULLISH Impact: 8/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon months Filed Mar 3, 2026 Processed 3mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: fda
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CERT ▼ -26.11% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -26.11% · α vs SPY -36.42% · entry $7.24 → $5.35
Currently $5.18 · -28.45% from $7.24 entry
Entry anchored
Mar 2, 06:27 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+1.52%
call +1.52% · α +0.76%
$7.35
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-4.28%
call -4.28% · α -3.80%
$6.93
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-21.27%
call -21.27% · α -16.87%
$5.70
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-26.11%
call -26.11% · α -36.42%
$5.35
settled 13d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Certara announced that its Simcyp® Simulator was used to support the FDA's acceptance of PBPK modeling in lieu of clinical studies for the approval of asciminib (Scemblix®), a first-in-class treatment for Chronic Myeloid Leukemia. This marks a significant regulatory validation of Certara's model-informed drug development technology, highlighting its ability to replace at least ten clinical pharmacology studies and streamline the NDA process.

Actionable Insight

Traders should view this as a strong validation of Certara's technology platform, likely to enhance commercial credibility and drive adoption across biopharma clients. Monitor for follow-on announcements regarding new client engagements or expanded use of Simcyp in other NDAs.

Key Facts

  • FDA accepted PBPK modeling via Certara's Simcyp Simulator in lieu of clinical studies for asciminib (Scemblix®) NDA approval.
  • Modeling replaced at least ten dedicated clinical pharmacology studies.
  • Asciminib is a first-in-class allosteric inhibitor for Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML).
  • Simcyp's modeling supported dosing regimens and drug interaction profiles across diverse populations.
  • Novartis, a Simcyp Consortium member, led the modeling work in collaboration with Certara.

Financial Impact

Significant long-term revenue potential as regulatory acceptance strengthens demand for Certara’s biosimulation tools; validation could lead to broader adoption and expanded contracts.

revenuemarket shareclient acquisition

Risk Factors

  • Revenue impact may be delayed as adoption cycles in biopharma are long.
  • Success depends on continued regulatory acceptance beyond this single case.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3248265
7 reports for CERT
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +11.11%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CERT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 11, 2026
29d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.13 $4.56▲ +11.11%▲ +11.03%$5.18 (−0.97%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.13 $4.56▲ +11.11%▲ +11.03%$5.18 (−0.97%)
Apr 22, 2026
6w ago
8-K / PRESS-RELEASE
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.38 $6.11▼ −4.23%▼ −4.29%$5.18 (−18.81%)
Apr 3, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.46 $5.79▲ +6.04%▲ +1.91%$5.18 (−5.13%)
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.68 $5.62▼ −1.06%▼ −5.36%$5.18 (−8.80%)
Mar 3, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$7.24 $6.93▼ −4.28%▼ −3.80%$5.18 (−28.45%)
Feb 26, 2026
14w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.80 $7.15▲ +5.15%▲ +6.27%$5.18 (−23.82%)
Showing 7 of 7

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