CEG Constellation Energy Corp

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 11, 2026 Processed 29d 16h ago SEC 0001868275-26-000063
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
CEG ▼ -12.58% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -12.58% · α vs SPY -12.49% · entry $299.69 → $262.00
Next anchor: T+20d due 15h ago
Currently $251.65 · -16.03% from $299.69 entry
Entry anchored
May 11, 05:25 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-2.03%
call -2.03% · α -1.90%
$293.60
settled 29d ago
T+5d
-12.58%
call -12.58% · α -12.49%
$262.00
settled 23d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
due 15h ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Constellation Energy reported Q1 2026 GAAP Net Income of $4.49 per share and Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings of $2.74 per share, up from $2.14 in Q1 2025, driven by the Calpine acquisition and favorable market conditions. The company affirmed its full-year 2026 Adjusted Operating Earnings guidance of $11.00-$12.00 per share and highlighted progress on data center co-location deals and new generation projects. The beat vs. consensus is notable, but the affirmation of existing guidance limits upside surprise.

Actionable Insight

The Q1 beat and reaffirmed guidance support the stock, but the Calpine integration and data center deal pipeline are the key catalysts. Watch for the March 31 Business and Earnings Outlook call for 2026 guidance details and any updates on PJM capacity market reforms. The $5B buyback authorization provides downside support.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 GAAP Net Income of $4.49 per share vs $0.38 in Q1 2025
  • Q1 2026 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings of $2.74 per share vs $2.14 in Q1 2025 (consensus $2.56, beat by 7.0%)
  • Affirming full-year 2026 Adjusted Operating Earnings guidance of $11.00-$12.00 per share
  • Revenue of $11.122B in Q1 2026 vs $6.788B in Q1 2025 (Calpine acquisition closed Jan 2026)
  • Deployed ~$335M for share repurchases YTD; remaining authorization of $4.7B
  • PUCT approved net metering for CyrusOne data center co-location at Freestone Energy Center
  • Commissioned 105 MW Pastoria Solar Project and 460 MW Pin Oak Creek Energy Center
  • Share buyback authorization increased to $5.0B
  • Average diluted shares outstanding increased to 354M in Q1 2026 from 314M in Q1 2025 due to Calpine issuance

Financial Impact

Adjusted Operating EPS of $2.74 beat consensus of $2.56 by 7.0%; revenue of $11.122B vs consensus of $8.71B (beat by 27.7%)

revenueepsguidanceshare buyback

Risk Factors

  • Nuclear PTC phase-out if power prices rise above $44.75/MWh
  • Integration risks from Calpine acquisition (higher debt, operational complexity)
  • Regulatory uncertainty around PJM capacity market reforms and data center co-location approvals
  • Higher planned nuclear refueling outage days in Q1 2026 (99 vs 88) reduced capacity factor
  • Cash flow from operations declined to $425M in Q1 2026 from $1.6B in Q4 2025 due to collateral and working capital changes

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electric Services
Analyst Consensus
81% bullish (27 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001868275-26-000063
Document: ceg-20260511992.htm0001868275-26-000063
Document: ceg-20260511.htm0001868275-26-000063
Document: 0001868275-26-000063-index-headers.html0001868275-26-000063
Document: 0001868275-26-000063-index.html0001868275-26-000063
Document: 0001868275-26-000063.txt0001868275-26-000063
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001868275-26-000063
5 reports for CEG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CEG — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$267.24 $264.59▼ −0.99%▼ −1.39%$251.65 (−5.83%)
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$272.65 $267.24▲ +1.98%▲ +1.29%$251.65 (+7.70%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$299.69 $293.60▼ −2.03%▼ −1.90%$251.65 (−16.03%)
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$279.25 $279.46▲ +0.08%▼ −0.67%$251.65 (−9.88%)
Mar 19, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$281.99 $289.76▲ +2.76%▲ +1.65%$251.65 (−10.76%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 6m)

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