CDNS CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS INC

BULLISH Impact: 3/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-CDNS-rosenbla-20260218
12 firms acted on CDNS: Rosenblatt, Citigroup, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Redburn Atlantic, Wells Fargo, Loop Capital, Mizuho, Berenberg, Oppenheimer, Piper Sandler
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CDNS ▲ +16.33% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +16.33% · α vs SPY +8.14% · entry $304.78 → $354.55
Last close $384.96 (close Jun 12) · +26.31% from $304.78 entry
Entry anchored
Feb 17, 06:32 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-2.79%
call -2.79% · α -2.55%
$296.28
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-1.01%
call -1.01% · α -2.02%
$301.71
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-5.05%
call -5.05% · α -1.46%
$289.40
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+16.33%
call +16.33% · α +8.14%
$354.55
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Rosenblatt Securities upgraded CDNS from Neutral to Buy on February 18 with a $360 price target, up from $335. The move is part of a 12-firm analyst cluster that acted on the stock. Rosenblatt has a 70% accuracy rate on 10 CDNS calls, placing it in the top tier among covering firms, though its overall firm-level accuracy is 54% on 996 calls. The consensus is heavily bullish: 87.5% of 32 analysts rate the stock Buy or Strong Buy, with a mean price target of $380.01, implying 15.3% upside from the current $329.59. However, Rosenblatt's $360 target is below both the mean and median, making it a less aggressive bull. Momentum is flat—no upgrades or downgrades in 30 days—while EPS revisions are mixed: current quarter estimates rose 11.9% but full-year estimates declined 6.4%. Insider selling is pronounced, with $6.65M sold by the President in April and no insider buys. Short interest stands at 910,867 shares with a high short ratio of 63.4%, diverging from the bullish analyst consensus. Bottom line: Rosenblatt's upgrade adds incremental bullish weight but lacks contrarian force, and the insider selling/short interest signal caution.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+1
Final Score
3/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
28 (88%)
Hold
4
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
27
Mean PT
$380.01
Median PT
$390.00
High PT
$425.00
Low PT
$275.00
Current Price
$329.59
Implied Upside
+15.3%

Of 32 analysts covering CDNS, 9 rate it Strong Buy, 19 rate Buy, and 4 rate Hold. That is 87.5% Buy/Strong Buy and 12.5% Hold, with no Sell or Strong Sell ratings. The consensus is overwhelmingly bullish, and Rosenblatt's upgrade aligns with this dominant sentiment.

The consensus mean price target is $380.01 with a median of $390. The high target is $425 and the low is $275. At $329.59, CDNS trades 15.3% below the mean. Rosenblatt's $360 target sits 5.3% below the median and 8.3% below the mean, making it one of the less aggressive bulls among the 27 analysts with targets.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-29 Citigroup maintain Buy $400.00
2026-04-28 Wells Fargo maintain Overweight $400.00
2026-04-28 Keybanc maintain Overweight $425.00
2026-04-28 Rosenblatt maintain Buy $375.00
2026-04-28 Baird maintain Outperform $385.00
2026-04-28 Needham reiterate Buy $400.00
2026-04-28 Piper Sandler maintain Neutral $325.00
2026-04-24 Rosenblatt maintain Buy $360.00
2026-04-20 Needham maintain Buy $400.00
2026-02-26 Rosenblatt maintain Buy $360.00

In the past 30 days, there have been 0 upgrades and 0 downgrades on CDNS; most firms maintained their ratings. EPS revisions are mixed: current-year estimates were revised down 6.4% over 30 days (from $4.795 to $4.489), but current-quarter estimates rose 11.9% (from $1.836 to $2.054). Next-quarter and next-year estimates saw minor downward revisions. The net picture shows near-term optimism but tempered longer-term views.

Firm Track Record — Rosenblatt

Rosenblatt accuracy: 54% on 996 calls | avg return: 8.5%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 11 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Piper Sandler 83% 5/6 2.6% top tier
Loop Capital 75% 3/4 3.4% top tier
B of A Securities 75% 3/4 13.2% top tier
Rosenblatt 70% 7/10 5.7% top tier
Mizuho 67% 4/6 7.5% top tier
Oppenheimer 67% 2/3 7.4% top tier
Keybanc 60% 3/5 -0.4% above average
JP Morgan 50% 2/4 5.9% below average
Needham 45% 5/11 1.1% below average
Baird 44% 4/9 0.8% below average

Rosenblatt has a 54% accuracy rate on 996 rated stocks overall, with an average return of 8.5% per call. On CDNS specifically, Rosenblatt is 7 correct out of 10 calls (70% accuracy), placing it in the top tier among covering firms. The best firm on CDNS is Piper Sandler (83% accuracy on 6 calls) and the worst is Wells Fargo (40% on 5 calls). Rosenblatt's CDNS record is solid but not best-in-class.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jul 27, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0y $4.49 $4.38 — $4.67 $6.2B ↑0 ↓0
+1y $9.38 $8.71 — $9.91 $7.0B ↑0 ↓0
0q $2.05 $2.03 — $2.08 $1.6B ↑1 ↓0
+1q $1.94 $1.79 — $2.10 $1.6B ↑0 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — add (52.4%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — exit (-100%)
Short Interest
Short: 910,867 | Exempt: 276 | TRF Vol: 1,436,221 | Short Ratio: 63.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trading shows five consecutive sells over the past three months, including a $6.65M sale by President John Wall on April 16—no insider buys. Institutional activity is mixed: Norges Bank reported both a new $1.35B position and a complete exit (likely filing lags). Two Sigma added 52.4% then trimmed 30.3%. Short interest is 910,867 shares with a short ratio of 63.4% (elevated). This divergence between analyst bullishness and insider selling/short interest is a cautionary signal.

Actionable Insight

Rosenblatt's upgrade reinforces an already bullish consensus but provides limited incremental conviction. The heavy insider selling and high short ratio create a headwind; traders should wait for price action to confirm support above $325 before establishing new long positions, or hedge with options given the 15% upside to the mean target.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

9 reports for CDNS
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CDNS — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 3, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$411.09 $375.88▼ −8.57%▼ −5.97%$384.96 (−6.36%)
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$304.78 $296.28▼ −2.79%▼ −2.55%$384.96 (+26.31%)
May 27, 2026
18d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$373.57 $374.67▲ +0.29%▲ +0.05%$384.96 (+3.05%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$304.78 $296.28▼ −2.79%▼ −2.55%$384.96 (+26.31%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$340.90 $348.70▲ +2.29%▲ +2.63%$384.96 (+12.93%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$340.90 $348.70▲ +2.29%▲ +2.63%$384.96 (+12.93%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$340.90 $348.70▲ +2.29%▲ +2.63%$384.96 (+12.93%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$340.90 $348.70▲ +2.29%▲ +2.63%$384.96 (+12.93%)
Mar 25, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$280.48 $271.61▼ −3.16%▼ −1.48%$384.96 (+37.25%)
Showing 9 of 9

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