BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 7d 21h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Latest settled — T+5d
BRCB ▲ +3.84% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +3.84% · α vs SPY +3.40% · entry $7.04 → $7.31
Next anchor: T+20d in 21d
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 06:17 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+4.69%
call +4.69% · α +4.15%
$7.37
settled 7d ago
T+5d
+3.84%
call +3.84% · α +3.40%
$7.31
settled 20h ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 21d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutional investors (BlackRock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley) initiated new positions in BRCB during Q3 2025, collectively accumulating $64.0M in shares. This cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, likely reflecting index rebalancing or inclusion in a new benchmark, rather than an active investment thesis. The signal is weak from an alpha perspective, as passive flows do not convey fundamental conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$64.0M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$64.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $64.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BlackRock NEW $11.9M $11.9M
Fidelity NEW $30.9M $30.9M
Morgan Stanley NEW $21.1M $21.1M

Actionable Insight

The cluster is entirely passive, reflecting index rebalancing rather than fundamental conviction. Monitor for any subsequent active-manager filings or insider buying to confirm a genuine thesis. The 13F data is 45+ days stale — current positioning may differ.

Key Facts

  • 3 mega-passive funds initiated new positions totaling $64.0M in Q3 2025
  • No sellers in the cluster — all activity is one-sided buying
  • All three buyers are passive/index managers (BlackRock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley)
  • No active managers or hedge funds participated in the cluster

Financial Impact

Three passive institutions accumulated $64.0M in new BRCB positions during Q3 2025, representing approximately 19.8% of the company's $323M market cap based on disclosed holdings.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive flows are not a directional signal — the cluster may have been unwound or rebalanced since quarter-end
  • 13F data has a 45-day reporting lag; current institutional positioning is unknown
  • No active manager participation reduces the signal's predictive value for alpha generation

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BRCB-2025-Q3
15 reports for BRCB
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate 4 of 7 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +18.06%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BRCB — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.04 $7.31▲ +3.84%▲ +3.40%
May 27, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%
May 27, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%
May 27, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%
May 23, 2026
27d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.43 $7.32▼ −1.48%▼ −2.69%
May 21, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.81 $8.04▲ +18.06%▲ +16.39%
May 21, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.81 $8.04▲ +18.06%▲ +16.39%
May 16, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.91 $7.43▲ +7.53%▲ +5.91%
May 12, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.65 $6.68▼ −12.68%▼ −11.52%
Apr 27, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.75 $11.38▼ −10.75%▼ −11.15%
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Juneteenth — Opens Mon (77h 19m)

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