BLD TopBuild Corp

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 DEFM14A
Horizon weeks Filed May 29, 2026 Processed 16d 13h ago SEC 0001104659-26-068303
Notable filing: DEFM14A
Latest settled — T+5d
BLD ▼ -2.52% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.52% · α vs SPY +0.23% · entry $412.19 → $401.82
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Last close $411.08 (close Jun 12) · -0.27% from $412.19 entry
Entry anchored
May 29, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.24%
call -1.24% · α -1.39%
$407.07
settled 14d ago
T+5d
-2.52%
call -2.52% · α +0.23%
$401.82
settled 10d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 14d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TopBuild Corp. (BLD) filed a definitive merger proxy (DEFM14A) for its $17 billion acquisition by QXO, Inc. Stockholders will vote on June 29, 2026, to adopt the merger agreement. Each TopBuild share will convert into either $505.00 cash or 20.200 QXO shares (subject to proration: max 45% cash, 55% stock). The TopBuild board unanimously recommends approval; QXO's obligation is not subject to financing. The deal is expected to close in Q3 2026, pending stockholder votes, antitrust clearance (HSR waiting period expired May 26, 2026; Canadian no-action letter received May 28, 2026), and other customary conditions.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$17.0B

Actionable Insight

The deal is fully financed and on track for Q3 2026 close. The spread between BLD's current price and the $505 cash consideration reflects remaining regulatory and vote risk. Monitor for any competing bids or regulatory challenges; the HSR clearance and Canadian no-action letter reduce antitrust risk. TopBuild stockholders should vote FOR or seek appraisal if they believe fair value exceeds $505.

Key Facts

  • TopBuild stockholders to vote on merger with QXO on June 29, 2026.
  • Each TopBuild share elects $505.00 cash or 20.200 QXO shares; no-election shares default to stock.
  • Cash capped at 45% of outstanding shares; stock capped at 55% (QXO may increase stock cap).
  • TopBuild board unanimously recommends FOR the merger; QXO board unanimously recommends FOR share issuance.
  • Jacobs Private Equity II, LLC (19.1% voting power) has agreed to vote QXO shares in favor.
  • HSR waiting period expired May 26, 2026; Canadian no-action letter received May 28, 2026.
  • TopBuild stockholders have appraisal rights under Delaware law.
  • Termination fee of $600 million payable by either party under certain conditions.
  • QXO's obligation is NOT subject to financing condition.
  • TopBuild shares will be delisted from NYSE upon deal close.

Financial Impact

Total enterprise value of $17 billion; per-share consideration of $505 cash or 20.200 QXO shares (implied value ~$505 at current QXO price).

revenueepsdebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Stockholder vote failure (TopBuild requires majority of outstanding shares; QXO requires majority of votes cast).
  • Regulatory challenges despite HSR and Canadian clearance; state or private antitrust actions possible.
  • QXO stock price decline could reduce value of stock consideration for electing holders.
  • Proration mechanics may result in holders receiving a mix of cash and stock different from their election.
  • Litigation challenging the merger could delay or block closing.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Construction - Special Trade Contractors
Analyst Consensus
59% bullish (17 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFM14A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-068303
Document: tm2612250-7_defm14a.htm0001104659-26-068303
27 reports for BLD
Performance horizon
62% Hit rate 8 of 13 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +22.72%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BLD — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$393.59 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$411.08 (+4.44%)
Jun 5, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$438.93 $408.84▲ +6.86%▲ +8.03%$411.08 (+6.34%)
Jun 5, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 3/10
$438.93 $408.84▲ +6.86%▲ +8.03%$411.08 (+6.34%)
Jun 4, 2026
10d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$405.25 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$411.08 (+1.44%)
Jun 4, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$405.25 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$411.08 (+1.44%)
May 29, 2026
16d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$412.19 $401.82▼ −2.52%▲ +0.23%$411.08 (−0.27%)
May 21, 2026
24d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
MIXED ★ 3/10
$469.92 $435.15▼ −7.40%▼ −8.48%$411.08 (−12.52%)
May 16, 2026
29d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$404.33 $443.31▲ +9.64%▲ +7.72%$411.08 (+1.67%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$424.63 $406.29▼ −4.32%▼ −4.23%$411.08 (−3.19%)
May 6, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$438.93 $416.79▲ +5.04%▲ +6.17%$411.08 (+6.34%)
Showing 10 of 27

US Market Status

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