BLD TopBuild Corp

MIXED Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed Feb 26, 2026 Processed 3mo ago SEC 0001104659-26-020046
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
BLD ▼ -12.14% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -12.14% · α vs SPY -19.89% · entry $467.98 → $411.18
Currently $409.00 · -12.60% from $467.98 entry
Entry anchored
Feb 25, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-4.21%
call -4.21% · α -3.75%
$448.30
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-12.76%
call -12.76% · α -11.63%
$408.28
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-25.68%
call -25.68% · α -19.28%
$347.81
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-12.14%
call -12.14% · α -19.89%
$411.18
settled 20d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TopBuild reported mixed financial results for 2025, with full-year revenue up 1.5% to $5.41 billion driven by acquisitions, but organic growth declined due to weakness in residential construction. Adjusted EBITDA fell 3.5% year-over-year. The company provided 2026 guidance projecting sales between $5.93-$6.23 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.01-$1.16 billion, assuming continued residential market weakness and commercial growth. The company returned $434 million to shareholders via buybacks.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$5.4B
+1.5% YoY
Adj. EPS
$19.77
GAAP: $18.28
Guidance
$5.925B-$6.225B
initiated
Gross Margin
29%

Actionable Insight

Monitor the company's ability to integrate recent acquisitions and achieve synergies, as organic growth remains challenged by residential market weakness. The 2026 guidance suggests improvement, but execution risk remains high given margin pressure in the Specialty Distribution segment.

Key Facts

  • Fourth quarter 2025 sales: $1.49 billion, up 13.2% YoY (acquisition-driven)
  • Full-year 2025 sales: $5.41 billion, up 1.5% YoY
  • Full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA: $1.037 billion, down 3.5% YoY
  • 2026 guidance: sales $5.93-$6.23 billion, adjusted EBITDA $1.01-$1.16 billion
  • Completed 7 acquisitions in 2025 adding ~$1.2 billion in annual sales
  • Returned $434.2 million to shareholders through share repurchases in 2025

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 1.5% in 2025 with EBITDA margin compression from 20.2% to 19.2%; 2026 guidance implies 9-15% revenue growth and 2-11% EBITDA growth

revenueebitdamarginscash flow

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Installation Services$3.2B-3.4%
Specialty Distribution$2.5B+7.8%

Risk Factors

  • Residential construction market continues to weaken, impacting organic growth
  • Margin pressure in Specialty Distribution segment due to acquisition integration
  • Execution risk in achieving projected 2026 growth targets

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-020046
Document: bld-20260226x8k.htm0001104659-26-020046
Document: 0001104659-26-020046-index-headers.html0001104659-26-020046
Document: 0001104659-26-020046-index.html0001104659-26-020046
Document: 0001104659-26-020046.txt0001104659-26-020046
26 reports for BLD
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate 8 of 14 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +22.72%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BLD — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$438.93 $408.84▲ +6.86%▲ +8.03%$409.00 (+6.82%)
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 3/10
$438.93 $408.84▲ +6.86%▲ +8.03%$409.00 (+6.82%)
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$405.25 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$409.00 (+0.93%)
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$405.25 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$409.00 (+0.93%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$412.19 $401.82▼ −2.52%▲ +0.23%$409.00 (−0.77%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
MIXED ★ 3/10
$469.92 $435.15▼ −7.40%▼ −8.48%$409.00 (−12.96%)
May 16, 2026
24d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$404.33 $443.31▲ +9.64%▲ +7.72%$409.00 (+1.15%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$424.63 $406.29▼ −4.32%▼ −4.23%$409.00 (−3.68%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$438.93 $416.79▲ +5.04%▲ +6.17%$409.00 (+6.82%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 2/10
$438.93 $416.79▲ +5.04%▲ +6.17%$409.00 (+6.82%)
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

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