BLD TopBuild Corp

BULLISH Impact: 8/10 425
Horizon months Filed Apr 20, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001104659-26-045090
Rule 425 M&A communications
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
BLD ▼ -17.05% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -17.05% · α vs SPY -21.26% · entry $489.83 → $406.29
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Currently $409.00 · -16.50% from $489.83 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 17, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-4.06%
call -4.06% · α -3.41%
$469.92
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-8.99%
call -8.99% · α -9.91%
$445.78
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-17.05%
call -17.05% · α -21.26%
$406.29
settled 23d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

QXO, Inc. announced a significant acquisition of TopBuild Corp., the largest distributor and installer of insulation and related building products in North America. The deal, expected to close in Q3 2026, aims to create the second-largest publicly traded building products distributor in North America with over $18 billion in revenue and $2 billion in adjusted EBITDA, enhancing scale, cross-selling opportunities, and market leadership in key product categories.

Actionable Insight

Traders should monitor upcoming Form S-4 registration and joint proxy statement for deal terms, financing details, and synergy estimates. The combination creates a dominant player in insulation and expands QXO's reach into large-scale infrastructure projects like data centers. Consider positioning in BLD ahead of potential bid-up pre-close, while watching for regulatory or shareholder approval risks.

Key Facts

  • QXO is acquiring TopBuild, the largest insulation distributor and installer in North America.
  • The combined company will be the second-largest publicly traded building products distributor in North America.
  • Post-acquisition revenue is expected to exceed $18 billion with over $2 billion in adjusted EBITDA.
  • TopBuild has 15,000 employees and 450 branch locations across North America.
  • The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2026.
  • QXO will achieve #1 positions in insulation and waterproofing, and #2 in roofing after the deal closes.

Financial Impact

Deal creates a $18B+ revenue entity with $2B+ adjusted EBITDA; significant scale and category leadership gains.

revenueebitdamarket_shareoperating_scale

Risk Factors

  • Deal may not close on time or at all due to regulatory, shareholder, or financing risks.
  • Integration challenges between QXO and TopBuild operations.
  • Potential customer or employee attrition during transaction pendency.
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to material risks and uncertainties.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Construction - Special Trade Contractors

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-045090
Document: 0001104659-26-045090-index-headers.html0001104659-26-045090
Document: 0001104659-26-045090-index.html0001104659-26-045090
Document: 0001104659-26-045090.txt0001104659-26-045090
26 reports for BLD
Performance horizon
62% Hit rate 8 of 13 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +22.72%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BLD — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$438.93 $408.84▲ +6.86%▲ +8.03%$409.00 (+6.82%)
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 3/10
$438.93 $408.84▲ +6.86%▲ +8.03%$409.00 (+6.82%)
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$405.25 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$409.00 (+0.93%)
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$405.25 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$409.00 (+0.93%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$412.19 $401.82▼ −2.52%▲ +0.23%$409.00 (−0.77%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
MIXED ★ 3/10
$469.92 $435.15▼ −7.40%▼ −8.48%$409.00 (−12.96%)
May 16, 2026
24d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$404.33 $443.31▲ +9.64%▲ +7.72%$409.00 (+1.15%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$424.63 $406.29▼ −4.32%▼ −4.23%$409.00 (−3.68%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$438.93 $416.79▲ +5.04%▲ +6.17%$409.00 (+6.82%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 2/10
$438.93 $416.79▲ +5.04%▲ +6.17%$409.00 (+6.82%)
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 4m)

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