BA BOEING CO
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Freedom Broker upgraded Boeing from Hold to Buy on November 3, 2025, raising its price target to $223 from $217. The call is part of a 10-firm cluster action on BA, including Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Barclays. Consensus is heavily bullish: 31 of 37 analysts rate Buy or Strong Buy, with a mean target of $268.76 implying 17% upside from $229.03. Freedom Broker has a 66% accuracy rate on 68 calls with an 11.8% average return, placing it in the top tier. The upgrade is contrarian to recent EPS estimate revisions — 30-day revisions show 7 downgrades vs 3 upgrades for the next fiscal year — and the stock is trading below the consensus mean. Insider selling has been heavy ($5M+ in February 2026), but institutional buying from Two Sigma (+3,454% position) and Renaissance (+25%) signals conviction. Short interest is elevated at 56.5% of float, suggesting potential squeeze risk. Bottom line: a high-accuracy firm upgrading into a bearish EPS revision cycle creates a tactical opportunity, but traders should wait for confirmation from the July 27 earnings print.
Impact Score
Consensus & Targets
Consensus is heavily bullish: 13 Strong Buy, 18 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell across 37 analysts. 84% of analysts rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy, well above the S&P 500 average of ~55%.
Mean target is $268.76, median $270, high $300, low $230. Current price $229.03 implies 17% upside to the mean. Freedom Broker's $223 target is below the mean and median, making it one of the more conservative bullish calls.
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Tigress Financial | maintain | Buy | $295.00 |
| 2026-04-23 | Morgan Stanley | maintain | Equal-Weight | $250.00 |
| 2026-04-02 | Citigroup | maintain | Buy | $256.00 |
| 2026-04-01 | Wells Fargo | initiate | Overweight | $250.00 |
| 2026-03-19 | Tigress Financial | maintain | Buy | $290.00 |
| 2026-02-06 | Freedom Broker | maintain | Buy | $290.00 |
| 2026-02-02 | Jefferies | maintain | Buy | $295.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | $270.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | RBC Capital | maintain | Outperform | $275.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | Citigroup | maintain | Buy | $290.00 |
30-day analyst activity shows 0 upgrades and 0 downgrades, but EPS revisions are negative: 30-day revisions show 7 downgrades vs 3 upgrades for the next fiscal year, and 6 downgrades vs 2 upgrades for the current quarter. Estimates are being revised lower across all timeframes.
Firm Track Record — Freedom Broker
Freedom Broker accuracy: 66% on 68 calls | avg return: 11.8%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | 100% | 2/2 | 13.4% | top tier |
| Jefferies | 100% | 3/3 | 11.2% | top tier |
| Goldman Sachs | 100% | 2/2 | 10.5% | top tier |
| Citigroup | 75% | 6/8 | 5.8% | top tier |
| UBS | 71% | 5/7 | 7.9% | top tier |
| RBC Capital | 70% | 7/10 | 4.8% | top tier |
| Benchmark | 67% | 2/3 | 17.5% | top tier |
| Morgan Stanley | 67% | 6/9 | 7.3% | top tier |
| Bernstein | 63% | 5/8 | 6.2% | top tier |
| JP Morgan | 63% | 5/8 | 4.1% | top tier |
Freedom Broker has a 66% accuracy rate on 68 calls with an 11.8% average return, placing it in the top tier among BA analysts. Top performers include TD Cowen (100% on 2 calls, +13.4% avg return) and Jefferies (100% on 3 calls, +11.2%). Below-average firms include Stifel (33% on 3 calls, -2.8% avg return) and Susquehanna (42% on 12 calls, +0.4%).
Earnings Estimates
Next earnings: Jul 27, 2026
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1y | $4.38 | $1.94 — $6.80 | $112.4B | ↑2 ↓0 |
| +1q | $0.01 | $-0.44 — $0.56 | $24.9B | ↑2 ↓0 |
| 0q | $-0.21 | $-0.90 — $0.38 | $23.9B | ↑1 ↓0 |
| 0y | $-0.29 | $-1.86 — $1.16 | $97.5B | ↑6 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Insider selling dominates: $5M+ in sales by executives in February 2026, including the CFO and CEO. Congressional buying is minor ($16K-$65K from two Republican members). Institutional activity is mixed: Two Sigma doubled its position (+3,454%) and Renaissance added 25%, but Two Sigma also trimmed 72% in another fund. Short interest is elevated at 56.5% of float, indicating heavy bearish positioning that could fuel a squeeze on positive catalysts.
Actionable Insight
Freedom Broker's upgrade is a contrarian call against a backdrop of falling EPS estimates and heavy insider selling. The high short interest and institutional buying from quant funds create a tactical squeeze setup, but traders should wait for the July 27 earnings print to confirm the thesis before initiating a long position.
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
May 31, 2026
9d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $204.06 $194.67 | ▼ −4.60% | ▼ −4.32% | $215.92 (+5.81%) |
|
May 18, 2026
23d ago
|
Court Ruling
| $220.54 $218.86 | ▲ +0.76% | ▲ +2.38% | $215.92 (+2.09%) |
|
May 1, 2026
5w ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $204.06 $194.67 | ▼ −4.60% | ▼ −4.32% | $215.92 (+5.81%) |
|
Mar 31, 2026
10w ago
|
Court Ruling
| $198.97 $217.81 | ▲ +9.47% | ▲ +5.53% | $215.92 (+8.52%) |
|
Mar 31, 2026
10w ago
|
Court Ruling
| $198.97 $217.81 | ▲ +9.47% | ▲ +5.53% | $215.92 (+8.52%) |
|
Mar 6, 2026
13w ago
|
DEFA14A
| $224.33 $213.49 | ▼ −4.83% | ▼ −3.48% | $215.92 (−3.75%) |
|
Mar 6, 2026
13w ago
|
DEFA14A
| $224.33 $213.49 | ▼ −4.83% | ▼ −3.48% | $215.92 (−3.75%) |
|
Feb 24, 2026
15w ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $233.36 $223.87 | ▼ −4.07% | ▼ −3.04% | $215.92 (−7.47%) |
|
Jan 29, 2026
18w ago
|
Court Ruling
| $233.94 $236.57 | ▲ +1.12% | ▲ +3.48% | $215.92 (−7.70%) |
US Market Status
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