AVX AVAX One Technology Ltd.

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed Mar 2, 2026 Processed 3mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AVX ▼ -22.67% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -22.67% · α vs SPY -31.99% · entry $0.7500 → $0.5800
Last close $0.4010 (close Jun 8) · -46.53% from $0.7500 entry
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-6.00%
call -6.00% · α -5.09%
$0.7050
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.67%
call -0.67% · α +0.54%
$0.7450
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-31.33%
call -31.33% · α -23.40%
$0.5150
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-22.67%
call -22.67% · α -31.99%
$0.5800
settled 14d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AVAX One Technology Ltd. (AVX) reported preliminary 2025 full-year revenue of $2.3M and EBITDA of -$7.3M, reflecting a transition year. The company launched its Avalanche digital asset treasury (DAT) strategy in November 2025, with nearly half of annual revenue generated in Q4. For 2026, AVX issued aggressive revenue guidance of $11M–$12M (base case), up to $43M–$44M under high-price scenarios, with EBITDA expected to turn positive at $2M–$3M. The company has repurchased 2.4M shares under a $40M buyback program, citing undervaluation.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.3M
+382.6% YoY
Guidance
$11M - $12M
initiated

Actionable Insight

AVX is transitioning from a pre-revenue model to a yield-generating digital asset treasury strategy. The sharp guidance increase suggests strong operating leverage if AVAX and BTC prices remain stable or rise. Traders should monitor Q1 2026 results for confirmation of sustained revenue from staking/mining and continued buyback activity. The stock may re-rate if base-case guidance is achieved.

Key Facts

  • 2025 full-year revenue: $2.3M, with $1.1M generated in Q4 2025 alone
  • 2025 EBITDA: -$7.3M, driven by $5.8M unrealized loss on AVAX tokens and $5.1M intangible asset impairment
  • 2026 revenue guidance: $11M–$12M (base case), up to $43M–$44M under high digital asset price assumptions
  • 2026 EBITDA guidance: $2M–$3M (base case), up to $24M–$25M in high-price scenario
  • Launched AVAX digital asset treasury strategy in November 2025, driving staking and mining income
  • Repurchased 2,423,383 shares under $40M buyback program as of February 27, 2026
  • Company claims ~3 years of operating capital on hand and intrinsic asset value nearly 2x current stock price

Financial Impact

Revenue expected to grow ~380% YoY in base case ($2.3M to $11.5M avg), with EBITDA improving from -$7.3M to +$2.5M. High-price scenario implies ~1,770% revenue growth and full profitability leverage.

revenueebitdaoperating_incomenet_incomeshare_countdilution

Risk Factors

  • Revenue and EBITDA guidance highly dependent on volatile digital asset prices (AVAX and BTC)
  • 2025 results include large non-cash impairments and valuation losses; ongoing exposure to crypto market swings
  • Forward-looking statements carry high uncertainty; execution risk in scaling staking operations
  • Share buybacks may slow or halt if crypto prices decline, reducing capital flexibility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3247510
6 reports for AVX
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for AVX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 9, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4137 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$0.4010 (−3.07%)
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5000 $0.4760▼ −4.80%▼ −4.11%$0.4010 (−19.80%)
Apr 7, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.4930 $0.5310▲ +7.71%▲ +5.17%$0.4010 (−18.66%)
Mar 24, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6490 $0.6680▲ +2.93%▲ +2.36%$0.4010 (−38.21%)
Mar 5, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7730 $0.7330▼ −5.17%▼ −3.86%$0.4010 (−48.12%)
Mar 2, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.7500 $0.7050▼ −6.00%▼ −5.09%$0.4010 (−46.53%)
Showing 6 of 6

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