AVEX AEVEX Corp.

NEUTRAL Impact: 5/10 S-1
Horizon days Filed Jun 1, 2026 Processed 9d 21h ago SEC 0001193125-26-251569
IPO registration
Latest settled — T+1d
AVEX ▼ -14.73% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -14.73% · α vs SPY -14.01% · entry $32.44 → $27.66
Next anchor: T+5d due 7d ago
Last close $20.56 (close Jun 12) · -36.62% from $32.44 entry
Entry anchored
Jun 1, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-14.73%
call -14.73% · α -14.01%
$27.66
settled 13d ago
T+5d
call — · α —
due 7d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 15d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Executive Summary

AEVEX Corp. filed an S-1 registration statement on June 1, 2026, for a secondary offering of 8,000,000 shares of Class A common stock (plus underwriter option for 1,200,000 additional shares). The company is offering 5,726,157 shares and selling securityholders are offering 2,273,843 shares at an estimated price of $38.47 per share (May 29 closing price), with the company expected to receive net proceeds of approximately $212.0 million. Proceeds will be used to purchase Series B Units from existing holders, including entities controlled by principal stockholder Madison Dearborn Partners. This follows the company's IPO on April 20, 2026, which raised ~$345.9 million and the registration was declared effective on June 3, 2026 (EFFECT filed 1 day ago), confirming the offering is imminent.

Key Financial Metrics

Price Range
$38.47 assumed per share (May 29, 2026 closing price)

Actionable Insight

The offering is effectively priced and imminent following the EFFECT filing. The $38.47 assumed price represents a ~92% premium to the IPO price of $20.00, suggesting strong aftermarket performance. The secondary component (selling stockholders) means significant insider selling, but the company is also a net issuer. Monitor pricing and demand closely; the lock-up waiver for this offering may signal further selling pressure ahead of the 180-day IPO lock-up expiration.

Key Facts

  • Secondary offering of 8,000,000 shares (5,726,157 by company, 2,273,843 by selling stockholders) with 30-day option for 1,200,000 additional shares
  • Assumed offering price of $38.47 per share based on May 29, 2026 closing price on NYSE
  • Company expects net proceeds of ~$212.0M (or ~$243.8M if option fully exercised) after underwriting discounts and estimated expenses
  • Proceeds from company's shares to purchase 5,726,157 Series B Units from existing holders including entities controlled by MDP
  • Registration statement declared effective by SEC on June 3, 2026 (EFFECT filing 1 day prior to this filing)
  • Underwriting agreement dated June 3, 2026 with Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and Jefferies as representatives
  • Company is a defense technology prime contractor specializing in unmanned aerial systems and mission solutions

Financial Impact

$212.0M net proceeds to company from secondary offering at assumed $38.47/share, with up to $243.8M if option exercised

dilutioncashshare count

Risk Factors

  • Overhang from ~57.6M Class B shares exchangeable into Class A common stock
  • Material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting identified and unremediated
  • High customer concentration with ~88% revenue from U.S. Government in Q1 2026
  • Substantial Tax Receivable Agreement obligations estimated at ~$561.4M if all LLC Units exchanged
  • Controlled company structure with MDP holding ~70% voting power post-offering

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Aircraft
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (15 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-251569
Document: d147986dex11.htm0001193125-26-251569
Document: d147986dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-251569
Document: d147986dex51.htm0001193125-26-251569
Document: d147986dex233.htm0001193125-26-251569
Document: d147986dex232.htm0001193125-26-251569
Document: 0001193125-26-251569-index-headers.html0001193125-26-251569
16 reports for AVEX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 3 of 6 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +51.50%May 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AVEX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
9d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$22.89 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$20.56 (−10.16%)
Jun 4, 2026
11d ago
EFFECT
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.61 $22.87▼ −7.07%▼ −4.47%$20.56 (−16.46%)
Jun 1, 2026
13d ago
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$32.44 $27.66▼ −14.73%▼ −14.01%$20.56 (−36.62%)
May 20, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.72 $26.82▲ +0.37%▼ −0.07%$20.56 (−23.05%)
Apr 24, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$33.95 $29.90▼ −11.93%▼ −11.44%$20.56 (−39.44%)
Apr 20, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$35.99 $30.17▼ −16.17%▼ −17.19%$20.56 (−42.87%)
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $35.99▲ +7.72%▲ +8.38%$20.56 (−38.46%)
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $35.99▲ +7.72%▲ +8.38%$20.56 (−38.46%)
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $35.99▲ +7.72%▲ +8.38%$20.56 (−38.46%)
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $35.99▲ +7.72%▲ +8.38%$20.56 (−38.46%)
Showing 10 of 16

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