ARIS Aris Mining Corp

BULLISH Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 1d 16h ago
Institutional cluster: 6 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)

Executive Summary

Six institutional investors, led by Invesco, added $11.3M in ARIS positions during Q3 2024, while only D.E. Shaw trimmed a small amount. The cluster is dominated by active asset managers and one mega-passive fund, signaling a shared bullish thesis on gold mining fundamentals. However, historical reports on ARIS have been consistently wrong (0% win rate at T+20), suggesting the market has not rewarded this thesis recently.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$26.4M
Sell Value
$1.1M
Net Flow
$11.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $11.3M

▲ Buyers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Invesco ADD +40.4% $19.9M $8.3M
Legal & General Group ADD +30.8% $3.3M $1.2M
Stifel Financial ADD +60.4% $2.5M $1.2M
National Bank Of Canada DOUBLED +180.6% $667.0K $473.0K
Commonwealth Equity Services DOUBLED +103.8% $244.00 $146.00
Cibc World Market ADD +54.6% $512.00 $242.00

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
D.E. Shaw TRIM -28.1% $1.1M -$136.1K

Actionable Insight

The strong institutional buying cluster suggests a shared thesis on ARIS, likely tied to gold price exposure or operational catalysts. However, the historical track record of bullish calls on this stock has been poor (0% win rate at T+20). Traders should wait for a catalyst (e.g., earnings beat, gold price breakout) before entering, as the 13F data is 45+ days stale and the market has consistently faded similar signals.

Key Facts

  • 6 institutional buyers added a net $11.3M in ARIS during Q3 2024, with total buyer holdings reaching $26.4M
  • Invesco (mega-passive) was the largest buyer, increasing its position by 40.4% to $19.9M
  • Only 1 seller (D.E. Shaw, quant) trimmed $136K, a negligible amount relative to total buying
  • Two funds (National Bank Of Canada, Commonwealth Equity Services) doubled their positions
  • Analyst consensus is 91% bullish (10 Buy/Strong Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell)
  • Historical reports on ARIS have a 0% win rate at T+20 across 9 settled reports, with average T+20 return of -15.18%

Financial Impact

6 institutions accumulated $11.3M in new ARIS positions during Q3 2024, while 1 seller reduced holdings by $136K

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Historical reports on ARIS have been consistently wrong (0% win rate at T+20)
  • Gold price volatility could reverse the thesis
  • D.E. Shaw's trim, while small, could signal caution from a sophisticated quant fund

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ARIS-2024-Q3
8 reports for ARIS
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +7.60%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARIS — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$15.10 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20
May 7, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.70 $15.23▼ −22.69%▼ −22.71%
May 7, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.70 $15.23▼ −22.69%▼ −22.71%
May 6, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.01 $16.85▼ −11.36%▼ −14.50%
May 6, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.01 $16.85▼ −11.36%▼ −14.50%
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$20.96 $19.72▼ −5.92%▼ −11.29%
Apr 16, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.33 $19.71▼ −3.05%▼ −8.86%
Apr 7, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$20.12 $17.52▼ −12.92%▼ −22.70%
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h)

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