ARIS Aris Mining Corp

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 6-K
Horizon days Filed May 6, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001964504-26-000021
Notable filing: 6-K
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ARIS ▼ -11.36% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -11.36% · α vs SPY -14.50% · entry $19.01 → $16.85
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Currently $15.08 · -20.67% from $19.01 entry
Entry anchored
May 6, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+3.63%
call +3.63% · α +2.80%
$19.70
settled 5w ago
T+5d
+3.68%
call +3.68% · α +2.18%
$19.71
settled 28d ago
T+20d
-11.36%
call -11.36% · α -14.50%
$16.85
settled 6d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aris Mining reported a massive beat for Q1 2026: revenue surged 136% YoY to $372.5M, net income hit $97.6M (vs $2.4M a year ago), and EPS rose to $0.47 from $0.01. Gold production increased 36% to 74,339 oz as the realized gold price jumped 71% to $4,861/oz. Cash nearly doubled to $472M and net debt almost vanished at $1.6M. The company is on track to deliver the Marmato CIP plant by Q4 2026 and advance Soto Norte and Toroparu studies, positioning it for transformational growth. This is a standout quarter that validates the operational leverage story.

Actionable Insight

ARIS delivered a clean beat with soaring revenue and earnings, massive cash generation, and balance sheet deleveraging. The stock may gap up on this print. However, historical model performance on ARIS has been poor (0% T+20 win rate) suggesting the stock can act perversely despite strong fundamentals. Consider trimming into strength if the gap exceeds 5-7%, or hold for the Marmato CIP catalyst in Q4 2026. Watch for insider selling post-earnings as a negative signal given past patterns.

Key Facts

  • Revenue $372.5M vs $157.5M in Q1 2025 (+136% YoY)
  • Net income $97.6M vs $2.4M in Q1 2025
  • EPS $0.47 basic, diluted $0.47 (vs $0.01 YoY)
  • Gold production 74,339 oz, up 36% YoY
  • Average realized gold price $4,861/oz, up 71% YoY
  • Cash and equivalents $472.1M, up from $239.8M a year ago
  • Net debt reduced to just $1.6M from $250.1M in Q1 2025
  • AISC per oz at Segovia owner-mining $1,492, beating 2026 guidance of $1,700-$1,800
  • Marmato CIP plant construction on schedule for first gold in Q4 2026
  • Working capital surplus of $281.0M

Financial Impact

Dramatic improvement: revenue up 136% to $372.5M, net income $97.6M, EPS $0.47. Operating cash flow $158.8M, free cash flow after sustaining capital $102.8M.

revenuenet incomeepscashdebtgold productionaisc

Risk Factors

  • Gold price volatility could compress AISC margins if prices decline
  • Colombian wealth tax and COP appreciation added $8.1M and $11.6M in one-time and FX costs respectively
  • Execution risk on Marmato expansion and environmental permitting at Soto Norte
  • Insider selling clusters after strong quarters have historically preceded drawdowns

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001964504-26-000021
Document: arismining-mdaq12026.htm0001964504-26-000021
Document: arismining-6xkq12026.htm0001964504-26-000021
Document: 0001964504-26-000021-index-headers.html0001964504-26-000021
Document: 0001964504-26-000021-index.html0001964504-26-000021
Document: 0001964504-26-000021.txt0001964504-26-000021
7 reports for ARIS
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +7.60%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARIS — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 7, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.70 $15.23▼ −22.69%▼ −22.71%$15.08 (−23.45%)
May 7, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.70 $15.23▼ −22.69%▼ −22.71%$15.08 (−23.45%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.01 $16.85▼ −11.36%▼ −14.50%$15.08 (−20.67%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.01 $16.85▼ −11.36%▼ −14.50%$15.08 (−20.67%)
Apr 17, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$20.96 $19.72▼ −5.92%▼ −11.29%$15.08 (−28.05%)
Apr 16, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.33 $19.71▼ −3.05%▼ −8.86%$15.08 (−25.82%)
Apr 7, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$20.12 $17.52▼ −12.92%▼ −22.70%$15.08 (−25.05%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 1m)

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