AMTX AEMETIS, INC

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon immediate Filed May 7, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001437749-26-015360
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d
AMTX ▼ -21.47% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +21.47% · α vs SPY +24.61% · entry $3.12 → $2.45
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Last close $2.22 (close Jun 8) · +28.85% from $3.12 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 6, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-16.99%
call +16.99% · α +17.82%
$2.59
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-29.17%
call +29.17% · α +30.67%
$2.21
settled 27d ago
T+20d
-21.47%
call +21.47% · α +24.61%
$2.45
settled 5d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aemetis reported Q1 2026 revenue of $54.6M, a 27% YoY increase but a 47% miss vs consensus of $103.1M. EPS of -$0.33 missed the -$0.20 consensus by 65%. Despite operational improvements and 45Z tax credit recognition, the massive revenue miss and continued net loss of $21.7M signal significant headwinds.

Key Financial Metrics

Gross Margin
5.05%

Actionable Insight

The massive revenue miss vs consensus will likely drive a sharp sell-off. Monitor the upcoming financing updates, 45Z credit cadence, and ability to refinance near-term debt maturities. The India IPO progress and MVR project completion are potential catalysts but do not offset near-term liquidity risk.

Key Facts

  • Revenue $54.6M vs consensus $103.1M (47% miss)
  • EPS -$0.33 vs consensus -$0.20 (65% miss)
  • Gross profit of $2.8M improved from gross loss of $5.1M in Q1 2025
  • Operating loss narrowed 60% YoY to $6.3M
  • Cash at end of Q1: $4.8M, down from $4.9M at Dec 2025
  • Current liabilities of $396M far exceed current assets of $34.7M
  • Accumulated deficit deepened to $661.7M

Financial Impact

Revenue shortfall of ~$48.5M vs consensus; EPS miss of $0.13

revenueepsliquidity

Risk Factors

  • Liquidity crisis with only $4.8M cash vs $293.8M current debt
  • Negative equity of $321M
  • Dependence on financing and 45Z credit monetization

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Industrial Organic Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-015360
Document: amtx20260506_8k.htm0001437749-26-015360
Document: 0001437749-26-015360-index-headers.html0001437749-26-015360
Document: 0001437749-26-015360-index.html0001437749-26-015360
Document: 0001437749-26-015360.txt0001437749-26-015360
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-015360
3 reports for AMTX
Performance horizon
Filters
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Reports for AMTX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 7, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.12 $2.45▲ +21.47%▲ +24.61%$2.22 (+28.85%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$3.52 $2.64▼ −25.00%▼ −30.28%$2.22 (−36.93%)
Mar 12, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.92 $2.27▲ +18.23%▲ +16.25%$2.22 (+15.63%)
Showing 3 of 3

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