AMGN AMGEN INC

NEUTRAL Impact: 1/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-AMGN-canaccor-20260421
Canaccord Genuity initiates coverage on AMGN at Hold
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
AMGN ▼ -5.84% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -5.84% · α vs SPY -10.76% · entry $344.52 → $324.39
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Last close $355.20 (close Jun 12) · +3.10% from $344.52 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 21, 11:59 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.36%
call +0.36% · α -0.66%
$345.77
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-1.50%
call -1.50% · α -2.58%
$339.37
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-5.84%
call -5.84% · α -10.76%
$324.39
settled 27d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 4w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Canaccord Genuity initiates Amgen (AMGN) at Hold with a $366 price target, implying 4.5% upside from $350.16. The firm's accuracy is below average at 47% (722/1538), and its call is below the consensus Buy rating (62% Buy/Hold). The mean price target is $352.03, with Canaccord’s $366 above median. AMGN reports earnings in 8 days. EPS estimates are stable, with slight downward revisions over 30 days. Institutional activity shows divergence: Renaissance Technologies trimmed, Two Sigma doubled. Short ratio is elevated at 57.4%. Bottom line: low-conviction initiation from a below-average firm ahead of earnings limits impact.

Impact Score

Base Score
0/7
LLM Adjustment
-1
Final Score
1/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
21 (49%)
Hold
19
Sell / Strong Sell
3
Total Analysts
29
Mean PT
$352.03
Median PT
$351.00
High PT
$432.00
Low PT
$200.00
Current Price
$350.16
Implied Upside
+0.5%

Of 29 analysts, 21 rate AMGN as Buy (72.4%), 19 Hold (65.5%), 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell. Note: totals exceed 100% due to rounding. The consensus leans Buy, with a clear majority favoring positive sentiment. Canaccord’s Hold rating is below consensus and aligns with only 65.5% of analysts.

The consensus mean price target is $352.03, median $351, range $200–$432. At $350.16, shares imply 0.5% upside to the mean. Canaccord’s $366 target is 4.0% above the mean and 4.3% above the median, positioning it above average but not outlier. Piper Sandler’s $432 target remains the high.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-21 Canaccord Genuity initiate Hold $366.00
2026-04-13 UBS maintain Buy $400.00
2026-04-10 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $326.00
2026-04-09 Guggenheim maintain Neutral $351.00
2026-04-08 Cantor Fitzgerald reiterate Neutral $350.00
2026-03-10 Jefferies initiate Hold $350.00
2026-02-20 Barclays initiate Equal-Weight $350.00
2026-02-19 Wells Fargo maintain Equal-Weight $375.00
2026-02-18 Piper Sandler maintain Overweight $432.00
2026-02-12 Freedom Broker downgrade Hold $375.00

Over the past 30 days, there has been 1 upgrade and 0 downgrades. EPS revisions show modest downward pressure: for current year (0y), 4 revisions up vs 6 down; for +1y, 8 up vs 6 down. Near-term estimates (0q, +1q) show slight trimming, indicating softening sentiment despite stable current estimates.

Firm Track Record — Canaccord Genuity

Canaccord Genuity accuracy: 47% on 1538 calls | avg return: 3%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 13 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
BMO Capital 100% 3/3 7.1% top tier
Truist Securities 100% 3/3 4.8% top tier
Mizuho 100% 2/2 4% top tier
RBC Capital 88% 7/8 4.9% top tier
Morgan Stanley 86% 6/7 6.9% top tier
UBS 86% 6/7 7% top tier
B of A Securities 80% 4/5 1% top tier
Wells Fargo 75% 3/4 11.9% top tier
Piper Sandler 67% 4/6 8% top tier
TD Cowen 67% 2/3 6.4% top tier

Canaccord Genuity has a 47% accuracy rate (722 correct out of 1538 rated stocks), below the average firm. Their average return on rated stocks is +3%. Among 13 firms covering AMGN, 8 are top-tier (80–100% accuracy), including Morgan Stanley (86%, 6.9% avg return) and UBS (86%, 7%). Canaccord ranks near the bottom in reliability.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Apr 29, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0q $4.79 $4.17 — $6.15 $8.6B ↑6 ↓0
+1q $5.75 $4.65 — $6.23 $9.5B ↑3 ↓0
0y $22.35 $21.58 — $23.18 $37.8B ↑5 ↓0
+1y $23.29 $20.80 — $25.04 $38.7B ↑5 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Congressional
David Taylor (republican) — sell $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — exit (-100%)
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — doubled (835.1%)
Short Interest
Short: 307,989 | Exempt: 4,018 | TRF Vol: 536,629 | Short Ratio: 57.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Institutional activity is mixed: Two Sigma increased position by 835.1%, while Renaissance Technologies exited and then trimmed further. Norges Bank entered and exited. No insider trades reported. Congressional trade: Rep. David Taylor (R) sold $1k–$15k on Feb 26. Short interest is extremely high at 57.4% of float, suggesting elevated bearish positioning ahead of earnings. Analyst sentiment (bullish) diverges from short and some institutional signals (bearish).

Actionable Insight

Neutral initiation from a low-accuracy firm provides minimal new information. With earnings in 8 days and high short interest, price action will likely be driven by fundamentals, not this call. Avoid positioning based on this trigger.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

8 reports for AMGN
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AMGN — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 3, 2026
12d ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$338.22 $345.46▲ +2.14%▲ +1.74%$355.20 (+5.02%)
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$366.14 $368.86▼ −0.74%▼ −0.72%$355.20 (+2.99%)
May 21, 2026
24d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$344.52 $345.77▲ +0.36%▼ −0.66%$355.20 (+3.10%)
May 19, 2026
26d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$331.63 $337.17▲ +1.67%▲ +1.48%$355.20 (+7.11%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$311.11 $299.36▼ −3.78%▼ −4.81%$355.20 (+14.17%)
Apr 22, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$348.56 $344.53▼ −1.16%▼ −1.94%$355.20 (+1.91%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$344.52 $345.77▲ +0.36%▼ −0.66%$355.20 (+3.10%)
Apr 7, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$349.47 $355.35▲ +1.68%▲ +1.11%$355.20 (+1.64%)
Showing 8 of 8

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