AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 7d 21h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
AII ▲ +3.80% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +3.80% · α vs SPY +3.36% · entry $16.86 → $17.50
Next anchor: T+20d in 21d
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.89%
call +0.89% · α +0.35%
$17.01
settled 7d ago
T+5d
+3.80%
call +3.80% · α +3.36%
$17.50
settled 20h ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 21d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutional investors (BlackRock, State Street, Morgan Stanley) collectively more than doubled their AII positions in Q3 2025, adding $10.2M in new holdings to a total of $12.7M. No sellers were detected. The buying is dominated by index/rebalancing flows rather than active fundamental conviction, and the stock's small $333M market cap means these additions likely reflect index inclusion or weighting adjustments rather than a shared alpha thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$12.7M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$10.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $10.2M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BlackRock DOUBLED +253.7% $9.8M $7.5M
State Street DOUBLED +872.7% $2.4M $2.2M
Morgan Stanley DOUBLED +731.6% $415.0K $374.0K

Actionable Insight

The cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, likely reflecting AII's inclusion in or rebalancing of Russell/other indices rather than fundamental conviction. Monitor next 13F for active manager interest — without that, the signal is weak. Historical calibration shows AII reports have underperformed by -3.49% at T+20, so avoid chasing this passive accumulation.

Key Facts

  • 3 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in Q3 2025
  • Aggregate institutional buying: $10.2M net new value (total holdings $12.7M)
  • BlackRock doubled its stake (+253.7% shares), now holds $9.8M
  • State Street nearly 10x'd its position (+872.7% shares), now holds $2.4M
  • Morgan Stanley increased 7.3x (+731.6% shares), now holds $415K
  • All three buyers are mega-passive index fund managers, not active hedge funds
  • No institutional selling detected in the quarter

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $10.2M in net new AII holdings during Q3 2025, bringing total disclosed institutional holdings to $12.7M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive buying provides no fundamental thesis — may reverse on next index rebalance
  • Historical AII reports have averaged -3.49% T+20 returns, suggesting poor timing signals
  • No active manager participation reduces conviction signal strength

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (10 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-AII-2025-Q3
7 reports for AII
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +3.99%Feb 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AII — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$17.01 $16.67▼ −2.00%▼ −3.76%
Jun 11, 2026
7d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.86 $17.01▲ +0.89%▲ +0.35%
May 27, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.60 $16.36▼ −1.45%▼ −1.69%
May 27, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.60 $16.36▼ −1.45%▼ −1.69%
May 20, 2026
29d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 4/10
$16.86 $17.01▲ +0.89%▲ +0.44%
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.26 $18.99▼ −1.40%▼ −0.75%
Feb 24, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$19.01 $19.77▲ +3.99%▲ +4.53%
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Juneteenth — Opens Mon (77h 18m)

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