AFL AFLAC INC

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Insider Cluster (3 insiders)
Horizon weeks Filed May 18, 2026 Processed 22d 14h ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $3.2M total
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
AFL ▼ -1.05% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -1.05% · α vs SPY -2.67% · entry $118.06 → $116.82
Next anchor: T+20d in 6d
Last close $115.24 (close Jun 8) · -2.39% from $118.06 entry
Entry anchored
May 18, 10:00 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.22%
call -0.22% · α +0.43%
$117.80
settled 22d ago
T+5d
-1.05%
call -1.05% · α -2.67%
$116.82
settled 15d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 6d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aflac insiders sold $3.19M in shares over a 7-day window, led by Japan Post Holdings (10% owner) selling $2.85M. The sales coincide with two recent debt offerings (424B5 filings) and follow Q1 earnings that showed a 2.1% decline in net earned premiums. While the dollar amount is trivial relative to Aflac's $59.5B market cap (0.005%), the cluster of sales by a major holder and a director near capital market activity warrants attention.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$3.2M
Insiders
3

Actionable Insight

The insider sales are too small relative to market cap to be actionable on their own. However, the proximity to two debt offerings and the pattern of Japan Post Holdings reducing its stake over consecutive days is worth monitoring. Watch for any further selling by Japan Post or C-suite executives in the next 30 days, which could signal a more bearish view on the stock.

Key Facts

  • Japan Post Holdings sold 51,892 shares worth $6.0M over 3 days (May 12-14), the bulk of the cluster.
  • Director Collins Arthur Reginald sold 2,300 shares worth $268K on May 14.
  • Director Joseph L. Moskowitz sold 600 shares worth $68K on May 8.
  • Total cluster value of $3.19M is 0.005% of Aflac's $59.5B market cap — well below the 0.1% materiality threshold.
  • Two 424B5 debt offerings were filed within 14 days of the insider sales, suggesting insiders were aware of capital market activity.
  • Q1 2026 net earned premiums declined 2.1% YoY, though net earnings rose due to investment gains.

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $3.19M represent 0.005% of market cap — economically trivial.

insider holdingsdilution

Risk Factors

  • Japan Post Holdings may continue reducing its stake, creating overhang.
  • Debt offerings could signal rising capital needs or unfavorable credit conditions.
  • Q1 premium decline may accelerate if the insurance cycle turns.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Accident & Health Insurance
Analyst Consensus
13% bullish (23 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AFL-1779112914376
32 reports for AFL
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate 4 of 7 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +1.29%Mar 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.63 $114.50▲ +0.77%▲ +1.46%$115.24 (+1.42%)
Jun 1, 2026
8d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$112.11 $113.63▲ +1.36%▲ +1.21%$115.24 (+2.79%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$112.42 $112.11▼ −0.28%▼ −0.55%$115.24 (+2.51%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$112.42 $112.11▼ −0.28%▼ −0.53%$115.24 (+2.51%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$112.63 $112.42▼ −0.19%▼ −0.43%$115.24 (+2.32%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$112.63 $112.42▼ −0.19%▼ −0.43%$115.24 (+2.32%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$114.85 $112.63▼ −1.93%▼ −2.48%$115.24 (+0.34%)
May 26, 2026
14d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.82 $114.85▼ −1.69%▼ −1.70%$115.24 (−1.35%)
May 22, 2026
18d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.86 $116.82▼ −0.88%▼ −1.47%$115.24 (−2.22%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.81 $117.86▲ +0.04%▼ −0.40%$115.24 (−2.18%)
Showing 10 of 32

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