AEBI Aebi Schmidt Holding AG

NEUTRAL Impact: 5/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 14, 2026 Processed 26d 16h ago SEC 0001171843-26-003396
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
AEBI ▲ +6.37% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +6.37% · α vs SPY +7.09% · entry $11.13 → $11.84
Next anchor: T+20d in 2d
Currently $12.19 · +9.55% from $11.13 entry
Entry anchored
May 14, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+7.53%
call +7.53% · α +8.76%
$11.97
settled 26d ago
T+5d
+6.37%
call +6.37% · α +7.09%
$11.84
settled 20d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 2d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aebi Schmidt reported Q1 2026 net sales of $456M (flat YoY, but up 7% excluding $26.3M of prior-year Blue Arc sales), adjusted EBITDA of $33.1M (+6% YoY), and net income of $0.7M (+7% YoY). Order intake grew 9% and backlog hit a record $1.3B (+23% YoY), while the company confirmed full-year 2026 guidance of $1.95B-$2.15B in sales and $175M-$195M in adjusted EBITDA. The quarter was in line with expectations, with the stock likely to trade on the strong order pipeline and second-half ramp rather than the flat Q1 revenue.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$1.95B-$2.15B
maintained

Actionable Insight

The flat Q1 revenue and confirmed full-year guidance suggest no near-term catalyst for a significant move. The record $1.3B backlog and 9% order intake growth support the second-half ramp narrative — watch Q2 2026 results for evidence of walk-in-van revenue conversion and margin expansion. Leverage at 2.88x remains above the 2.0x year-end target, so debt reduction progress will be a key monitorable.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net sales of $456M, flat vs Q1 2025; up 7% excluding $26.3M of prior-year Blue Arc sales
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $33.1M, up 6% YoY; margin expanded ~40bps to 7.3%
  • Net income of $0.7M, up 7% from $0.6M in Q1 2025
  • Order intake grew 9% YoY; order backlog reached a record $1.3B, up 23% YoY
  • Full-year 2026 guidance confirmed: net sales $1.95B-$2.15B, adjusted EBITDA $175M-$195M, leverage ≤2.0x
  • North America adjusted EBITDA fell 9% to $26.4M due to ramp-up expenses for walk-in-van production
  • Europe/RoW adjusted EBITDA tripled to $6.8M, a record first quarter
  • Net debt increased $18M to $455M; leverage at 2.88x

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 net sales $456M (flat YoY), adjusted EBITDA $33.1M (+6% YoY), net income $0.7M (+7% YoY)

revenueadjusted EBITDAnet incomeorder backlognet debt

Risk Factors

  • North America adjusted EBITDA declined 9% due to ramp-up costs; any delay in walk-in-van revenue conversion could pressure margins
  • Net debt increased $18M sequentially; leverage at 2.88x is above the 2.0x year-end target
  • Geopolitical uncertainty and market softness cited as risks to the first-half outlook
  • Historical performance shows the stock has been volatile around earnings, with T+5 moves averaging -13.7% on prior calls

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Construction Machinery & Equip
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (9 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001171843-26-003396
Document: f8k_051326.htm0001171843-26-003396
Document: 0001171843-26-003396-index-headers.html0001171843-26-003396
Document: 0001171843-26-003396-index.html0001171843-26-003396
Document: 0001171843-26-003396.txt0001171843-26-003396
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001171843-26-003396
8 reports for AEBI
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AEBI — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 26, 2026
14d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.78 $11.90▼ −6.95%▼ −7.42%$12.19 (−4.64%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.84 $12.45▲ +5.23%▲ +3.38%$12.19 (+2.99%)
May 19, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.26 $12.81▲ +4.49%▲ +3.25%$12.19 (−0.57%)
May 19, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.23 $12.88▲ +5.30%▲ +3.50%$12.19 (−0.37%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$11.13 $11.84▲ +6.37%▲ +7.09%$12.19 (+9.55%)
Apr 10, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.21 $11.55▼ −5.41%▼ −8.70%$12.19 (−0.16%)
Apr 10, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.21 $11.55▼ −5.41%▼ −8.70%$12.19 (−0.16%)
Mar 19, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$11.30 $9.24▼ −18.23%▼ −16.02%$12.19 (+7.88%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 6m)

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