ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp

BULLISH Impact: 8/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 15d 3h ago SEC 0001193125-26-206455
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
ADPT ▼ -5.54% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -5.54% · α vs SPY -6.67% · entry $14.43 → $13.63
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Currently $13.96 · -3.26% from $14.43 entry
Entry anchored
May 5, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.33%
$14.43
settled 14d ago
T+5d
-5.54%
call -5.54% · α -6.67%
$13.63
settled 8d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 14d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

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Executive Summary

Adaptive Biotechnologies reported Q1 2026 revenue of $70.9M (up 35% YoY), beating consensus estimates on EPS ($-0.13 vs $-0.16, +18.8% beat). MRD revenue grew 53% to $67.1M, driving a raised full-year MRD guidance range to $260M-$270M. The stock is expected to react positively given accelerating adoption, improved adjusted EBITDA loss narrowing to $2.5M, and raised outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
MRD $260M-$270M
raised
Gross Margin
73.6%

Actionable Insight

The raised MRD guidance and accelerating test volume confirm strong commercial momentum, likely driving upward revisions. Monitor next quarter's test volume growth and margin expansion as the company approaches profitability.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $70.9M, +35% YoY (ex-Genentech +45%)
  • MRD revenue $67.1M, +53% YoY; contributed 95% of total revenue
  • clonoSEQ test volume 32,595, +41% YoY
  • GAAP EPS: -$0.13 vs consensus -$0.16 (beat by 18.8%)
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to -$2.5M from -$12.7M YoY
  • Full-year 2026 MRD guidance raised to $260M-$270M (from $255M-$265M)
  • Immune Medicine revenue declined 57% YoY to $3.8M
  • Cash, equivalents and marketable securities $237.2M

Financial Impact

Revenue beat of ~$10M vs consensus (est. $60.9M for prior quarter; Q1 actual $70.9M); EPS beat of 18.8%.

revenueepsguidancemrd_revenue

Risk Factors

  • Immune Medicine revenue fell 57% YoY, indicating volatility in that segment
  • Operating expenses grew 10% YoY, outpacing revenue growth ex-Genentech
  • Still GAAP net loss of $20M; profitability timeline uncertain
  • Heavy reliance on MRD segment (95% of revenue)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-206455
Document: adpt-20260505.htm0001193125-26-206455
Document: 0001193125-26-206455-index-headers.html0001193125-26-206455
Document: 0001193125-26-206455-index.html0001193125-26-206455
Document: 0001193125-26-206455.txt0001193125-26-206455
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-206455
9 reports for ADPT
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +21.85%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ADPT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 5, 2026
15d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$14.43 $13.63▼ −5.54%▼ −6.67%$13.96 (−3.26%)
Apr 24, 2026
26d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.21 $14.50▲ +2.04%▲ +1.64%$13.96 (−1.76%)
Apr 15, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.08 $13.82▼ −1.85%▼ −2.83%$13.96 (−0.85%)
Apr 8, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$14.84 $14.53▲ +2.09%▲ +5.61%$13.96 (+5.93%)
Apr 8, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.84 $14.53▼ −2.09%▼ −5.61%$13.96 (−5.93%)
Mar 11, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$14.22 $13.28▲ +6.61%▲ +4.42%$13.96 (+1.83%)
Mar 5, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$15.93 $12.45▲ +21.85%▲ +19.61%$13.96 (+12.37%)
Mar 3, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$16.08 $14.52▲ +9.70%▲ +9.22%$13.96 (+13.18%)
Mar 3, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.08 $14.52▼ −9.70%▼ −9.22%$13.96 (−13.18%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (< 1m)

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