ABEV AMBEV S.A.

NEUTRAL Impact: 5/10 6-K
Horizon days Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001292814-26-002777
Notable filing: 6-K
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ABEV ▼ -3.47% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -3.47% · α vs SPY -8.43% · entry $3.37 → $3.25
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $3.07 (close Jun 8) · -8.82% from $3.37 entry
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+1.49%
call +1.49% · α +0.10%
$3.42
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-3.59%
call -3.59% · α -5.58%
$3.25
settled 29d ago
T+20d
-3.47%
call -3.47% · α -8.43%
$3.25
settled 7d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ambev reported 1Q26 results with organic net revenue +8.1% and Normalized EBITDA +10.1%, driven by pricing and mix. However, as-reported net revenue was flat (-0.1%) and Normalized Profit was essentially flat (+0.3%), with EPS unchanged at R$0.24. The strong operating cash flow (+162.5% to R$3.2B) and new R$700M IOC distribution are positive, but the flat reported top-line and bottom-line, combined with Brazil Beer margin compression, limit the bullish read-through.

Actionable Insight

Results are mixed — strong organic growth and cash flow offset by flat reported earnings and margin pressure in Brazil Beer. The unchanged Brazil Beer COGS/hl guidance (4.5%-7.5% increase) suggests cost headwinds persist. Monitor the earnings call for commentary on consumer demand trends and FX hedging strategy. The R$700M IOC and ongoing buyback provide a floor, but the stock may trade range-bound until clearer volume recovery in Brazil NAB and Canada.

Key Facts

  • Organic net revenue +8.1% YoY; as-reported net revenue -0.1% to R$22,464.5M
  • Normalized EBITDA +10.1% organic; as-reported +1.5% to R$7,555.0M
  • Normalized Profit R$3,832.4M, +0.3% YoY; Normalized EPS R$0.24, +0.5%
  • Consolidated volume +0.1% organic; Brazil Beer volume +1.2% (record 1Q), Brazil NAB -3.9%
  • Brazil Beer Normalized EBITDA margin contracted 60bps to 35.2% on COGS/hl +14.6%
  • Operating cash flow R$3,160.9M, +162.5% vs 1Q25; highest 1Q in 10 years
  • Board approved new R$700M IOC distribution, plus R$1.2B tranche to be paid July 2026
  • Net debt position of R$16,534.9M (net cash); total debt R$3,105.7M
  • Net finance costs worsened to R$1,056.5M from R$856.4M, driven by derivative carry costs

Financial Impact

As-reported net revenue flat, Normalized Profit +0.3%, operating cash flow +R$2.0B YoY

revenueepsebitdacashFlowdebt

Risk Factors

  • Brazil Beer COGS/hl +14.6% organic, with guidance for 4.5%-7.5% full-year increase — margin pressure continues
  • Net finance costs increased 23.4% to R$1,056.5M, driven by derivative carry costs on US$1.8B FX hedge
  • Canada volumes -2.0% and Brazil NAB volumes -3.9% — both underperforming
  • As-reported net revenue declined 0.1% due to FX translation headwinds

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Beverages
Analyst Consensus
10% bullish (20 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-002777
Document: 0001292814-26-002777-index-headers.html0001292814-26-002777
Document: 0001292814-26-002777-index.html0001292814-26-002777
Document: 0001292814-26-002777.txt0001292814-26-002777
8 reports for ABEV
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for ABEV — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 29, 2026
11d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$3.22 $3.12▼ −3.11%▼ −0.59%$3.07 (−4.54%)
May 8, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.28 $3.14▼ −4.27%▼ −4.19%$3.07 (−6.29%)
May 8, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.28 $3.14▼ −4.27%▼ −4.19%$3.07 (−6.29%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.37 $3.25▼ −3.59%▼ −5.58%$3.07 (−8.82%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$3.37 $3.25▼ −3.59%▼ −5.58%$3.07 (−8.82%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.37 $3.25▼ −3.59%▼ −5.58%$3.07 (−8.82%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.37 $3.25▼ −3.59%▼ −5.58%$3.07 (−8.82%)
Mar 24, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.78 $2.92▲ +5.04%▲ +5.46%$3.07 (+10.55%)
Showing 8 of 8

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