ABCL AbCellera Biologics Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 1/10 ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-ABCL-leerinkp-20251107
3 firms acted on ABCL: Jones Trading, Leerink Partners, Benchmark
Latest settled — T+20d
ABCL ▲ +4.26% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -4.26% · α vs SPY +0.65% · entry $3.99 → $4.16
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Currently $5.24 · -31.33% from $3.99 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Apr 20, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+2.26%
call -2.26% · α -1.24%
$4.08
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+4.26%
call -4.26% · α -3.18%
$4.16
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+4.26%
call -4.26% · α +0.65%
$4.16
settled 26d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Leerink Partners downgraded ABCL from Outperform to Market Perform with a new $4 price target, marking a 57% reduction from prior levels. The firm has a 49% accuracy rate (127 of 257 calls correct), below average versus peers. Three firms have acted recently: Jones Trading initiated Buy at $11, Benchmark reiterated Hold, and Leerink downgraded. Consensus is fragmented with 1 upgrade and no downgrades in the last 90 days. Institutional activity shows divergence: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America more than doubled positions, while Renaissance and UBS trimmed significantly. Short interest remains elevated at 60.3% short ratio. Insider buys totaling $276K in February signal confidence. No earnings date is scheduled within 30 days.

Impact Score

Base Score
0/7
LLM Adjustment
-1
Final Score
1/10

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-10 Jones Trading initiate Buy $11.00
2025-11-07 Leerink Partners downgrade Market Perform $4.00
2025-08-08 Stifel maintain Buy $7.00
2025-07-14 Keybanc maintain Overweight $10.00
2025-05-16 Truist Securities maintain Buy $10.00
2025-05-09 Stifel maintain Buy $8.00
2025-04-16 Keybanc maintain Overweight $5.00
2025-03-03 Benchmark reiterate Hold
2025-02-28 Stifel maintain Buy $10.00
2025-01-08 Keybanc maintain Overweight $4.00

In the past 30 days, there has been 1 upgrade (Jones Trading initiate Buy) and 0 downgrades. Over the longer term, analyst momentum is mixed: 1 new Buy initiation, 1 downgrade, and 5 maintains in the last 12 months. No EPS revisions are available, limiting visibility into earnings momentum.

Firm Track Record — Leerink Partners

Leerink Partners accuracy: 49% on 257 calls | avg return: 4.3%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 3 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Stifel 50% 2/4 26.1% below average
Keybanc 40% 2/5 4.2% below average
Benchmark 33% 1/3 8.3% below average

Leerink Partners has a 49% accuracy rate (127 of 257 calls correct) with an average return of 4.3%, below the peer average. Among firms covering ABCL, Stifel leads with 50% accuracy and 26.1% avg return, while Benchmark lags at 33% accuracy. Leerink’s track record does not outperform, reducing the weight of this downgrade.

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
2 buys / 0 sells
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — trim (-28.9%)
Institutional
UBS Group AG — trim (-27.8%)
Short Interest
Short: 1,433,487 | Exempt: 1,071 | TRF Vol: 2,376,156 | Short Ratio: 60.3% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider activity shows bullish divergence: Thermopylae Holdings and Andrew Booth bought $276K worth in February 2026. Institutionally, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America more than doubled their stakes, while Renaissance and UBS trimmed by 28.9% and 27.8%. Short interest is extremely high at 60.3% short ratio, suggesting ongoing bearish sentiment despite buying from insiders and major banks.

Actionable Insight

Leerink’s downgrade is offset by strong institutional accumulation and insider buying — ignore this bearish signal. Favor long-side exposure with tight risk control due to extreme short interest and lack of earnings catalyst in the near term.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

5 reports for ABCL
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +46.54%Feb 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ABCL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.80 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$5.24 (−9.58%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.95 $4.16▼ −15.96%▼ −16.04%$5.24 (+5.86%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 1/10
$3.99 $4.16▼ −4.26%▼ −3.18%$5.24 (−31.33%)
Feb 27, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.61 $3.45▼ −4.43%▼ −2.45%$5.24 (+45.15%)
Feb 24, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.19 $3.63▲ +13.79%▲ +14.89%$5.24 (+64.26%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h 30m)

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