AAON AAON, INC.

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Insider Cluster (2 insiders)
Horizon days Filed May 13, 2026 Processed 25d 8h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $4.8M total
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
AAON ▼ -5.44% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -5.44% · α vs SPY -4.72% · entry $140.00 → $132.39
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Currently $129.66 · -7.39% from $140.00 entry
Entry anchored
May 13, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-3.22%
call -3.22% · α -1.99%
$135.49
settled 27d ago
T+5d
-5.44%
call -5.44% · α -4.72%
$132.39
settled 21d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
tomorrow
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AAON insiders sold $4.81M in shares over a 7-day window, including CEO Matthew Tobolski ($1.08M open-market sale) and Director Gary Fields ($6.1M total sales across two dates). These sales occurred 8 days after AAON reported record Q1 2026 results ($496.9M revenue, +54.3% YoY) and raised full-year guidance to 40-45% growth. The insider selling is likely liquidity-driven following a strong earnings beat and stock price appreciation, not a bearish signal — the cluster represents only ~0.04% of AAON's $11.5B market cap, well below the 0.1% materiality threshold.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$4.8M
Insiders
2

Actionable Insight

The insider selling is routine post-earnings profit-taking following a strong quarter and 54% YoY revenue growth. With the stock up significantly on record results and raised guidance, these sales are not a bearish signal. Monitor for any insider purchases in coming weeks, which would be a stronger signal. The $100M buyback authorization provides a floor.

Key Facts

  • CEO Tobolski sold 8,000 shares open-market for $1.08M on May 13, 2026
  • Director Fields sold 45,099 shares total ($6.11M) across May 12-13, including derivative exercises
  • Total cluster open-market sales: ~$7.2M (including Fields' May 13 sale), ~0.06% of $11.5B market cap
  • Sales follow record Q1 earnings (revenue +54.3% YoY, EPS $0.48 vs $0.31 consensus) and raised guidance
  • Six directors received non-cash stock grants of 1,290 shares each on May 12 — routine compensation
  • No insider purchases in the cluster — all cash transactions are sales

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of ~$7.2M represent ~0.06% of AAON's $11.5B market cap — immaterial relative to company size

insider ownershipdilution

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling may continue as executives diversify after stock appreciation
  • Backlog of $2.13B (+107%) creates execution risk — any slowdown in conversion could pressure the stock
  • Elevated valuation post-earnings rally increases sensitivity to any future guidance misses

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AAON-1778865143455
13 reports for AAON
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AAON — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$132.69 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$129.66 (−2.28%)
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$137.32 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$129.66 (−5.57%)
Jun 1, 2026
8d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$73.45 $72.99▼ −0.62%▼ −1.31%$129.66 (+76.53%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$139.54 $143.50▲ +2.84%▲ +1.63%$129.66 (−7.08%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$139.54 $143.50▲ +2.84%▲ +1.63%$129.66 (−7.08%)
May 18, 2026
22d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$133.94 $141.12▲ +5.36%▲ +3.74%$129.66 (−3.20%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$135.49 $134.60▼ −0.66%▼ −1.62%$129.66 (−4.30%)
May 13, 2026
27d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$140.00 $132.39▼ −5.44%▼ −4.72%$129.66 (−7.39%)
May 13, 2026
27d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$135.37 $133.76▼ −1.19%▼ −1.05%$129.66 (−4.22%)
May 7, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$129.25 $135.37▲ +4.74%▲ +3.23%$129.66 (+0.32%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 21m)

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